UK house prices just saw their biggest monthly rise in over a year, with the average home increasing in value by roughly £4,000 in March alone.
That’s likely reassuring news for those already on the ladder, but for those still squirrelling away for a deposit, it may feel like the goalposts have nudged a little further away yet again.
But are the recent increases a sign that another boom is looming, or is it simply an indication that the market is finding its feet again after a period of uncertainty?
The Latest Figures – What Is Actually Happening?
The latest figures from Nationwide Building Society show that average prices rose by around 0.9% in March, taking the typical property value to £277,186, up from £273,176 in February.
In annual terms, growth is now just over 2%, which is a clear improvement on the flat or falling values seen through much of 2023-24, but still nowhere near the double-digit surges of the COVID pandemic.
That said, these new figures would suggest that several factors are currently working in the market’s favour:
- Inflation has eased back somewhat from its previous peak, helping restore an element of confidence.
- Mortgage rates are still higher than a few years ago, but are at least moving in a more stable and predictable range.
- Some buyers who had adopted a ‘wait and see’ approach are starting to return, especially in areas where affordability remains relatively stronger.
At the same time, however, affordability is still stretched in many parts of the UK, and market analysts have been quick to point out that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, and the subsequent jump in global energy prices, could yet cool the market later in the year, particularly if inflation and mortgage rates remain higher for longer.