In its Budget submission to the Treasury, the NRLA highlights several future projections that they believe will significantly affect the demand for private rental homes, exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance further.
Firstly, UCAS believes that by 2030, the number of higher education applicants could rise to over 1 million in one year. This is almost a third higher than the figures for 2022. There is already a shortage of student accommodation in some cities, which could become a more significant issue in the future.
According to ONS, another factor is that the number of people aged between 15 and 29 is projected to increase by over 6% over the next ten years. Young people are more likely to rent, which may also strain the undersupply of properties.
According to the Office for Budget Responsibility, net migration flows will likely settle at 245,000 annually by 2026/27. Migrants are three times more likely to live in private rented accommodation than the UK-born population.
Lastly, the NRLA pointed out that more people turn to the private rental sector for somewhere to live, preceding homeownership due to higher costs and mortgage rates.
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