Property Prices After Brexit – the Complete Guide

Discover how Brexit has impacted property prices over the last five years with this detailed guide from RWinvest. Keep reading to learn more about Brexit property prices and future predictions for the housing market.

Property Prices After Brexit

Brexit. Just the word can send a shiver down the spine of any UK investor. 

It’s been five long years since the UK took the divisive plunge to leave the EU on the 23 June, and to call this period complicated would be an understatement. 

The world has changed a lot since the Brexit vote, with 2020/2021 proving an explosive year after Covid-19, various Bank of England Base Rate drops, and an unheard of tax-saving holiday. 

At the time of writing this, we are now in June 2021, and the UK has spent six months completely out of the EU. 

With this in mind, we thought it is high time to look back over the years and see exactly what has happened to house prices after Brexit. 

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Grow Your Knowledge and Become Brexit Experts With This FREE Guide From Our Property Specialists. Download Now!

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Brexit House Prices 2020/2021
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Brexit House Prices 2020/2021



Brexit and House Prices Since 2016
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Brexit and House Prices Since 2016



Brexit House Prices by UK City
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Brexit House Prices by UK City



Housing Transactions Post-Brexit
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Housing Transactions Post-Brexit



In this in-depth guide to Brexit, we will look at Brexit house prices from 2016 to 2021 to see just how the infamous vote has impacted the UK housing market. 

We will also try and answer all the commonly asked questions we get asked about Brexit, including “will Brexit affect house prices?”, “will house prices fall after Brexit?”, and “will house prices rise after Brexit?” 

If you want the ultimate property prices Brexit guide, look no further than here. 

Keep reading to learn more. 

Brexit House Prices 2020/2021

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Brexit and House Prices in 2016 to 2021: An Economic Impact

Brexit Property Prices Growth by UK City

To cap off our look into property prices Brexitlet’s examine how house prices after Brexit have changed by UK city.

Liverpool House Prices 2016 - 2020 Liverpool House Prices 2016 - 2020

Liverpool 

The Merseyside city of Liverpool nestled in the North West of England has long been seen as the ideal property investment hotspot. 

Thanks to massive regeneration projects over the years, Liverpool has excelled in its property market, with a continued rate of price growth, rental growth, and rental demand. 

Despite Brexit and Covid-19, this trend of price growth continued every year in Liverpool. 

There’s been a consistent and substantial rise in property prices over the last five years in Liverpool, with prices reaching huge levels in 2021. 

Between June 2016 and June 2020, prices in the city increased by 14.28%.  

This growth rate got even higher throughout the end of 2020 and into 2021. As of March 2021, property prices in Liverpool were 18.09% higher than a year prior and were a staggering 31.03% higher than in June 2016. 

These headline growth rates are what makes Liverpool one of best investment hubs in the world. 

If you want to learn more about Liverpool property investment, be sure to check out our in-depth guide. 

Manchester House Price Growth 2016-2021 Manchester House Price Growth 2016-2021

Manchester 

Alongside Liverpool, Manchester is regularly seen as a top investment destination. 

The city has one of the youngest populations in the UK, with a huge student population surpassing 100,000. 

Manchester and the wider Greater Manchester region have experienced massive growth over the years, with property prices in 2021 almost 380% higher than in 2001. 

Like Liverpool, Brexit property prices in Manchester have also seen a consistently strong growth rate.  

Looking at the data, Manchester has seen quite sizeable growth from 2016 to 2018, before dipping slightly in 2019 and 2020. 

For June 2019, political uncertainty dominated the UK landscape, while June 2020 showed the city recovering from the impact of Covid-19. 

Despite these pressures, property prices quickly bounced back, with prices in March 2021 now 22.29% higher than in June 2020. 

Overall, between 2016 and 2021, property prices have increased by a massive 39.55%.  

For a deep insight into the Manchester market and to learn why Manchester is widely considered the ultimate property investment destination, be sure to check out our in-depth Manchester property investment guide for 2021. 

Discover More About Brexit Property Prices in Our FREE Guide

London 

The UK capital of London has long been the main target of investment from overseas. 

With more foreign direct investment projects located in the capital than anywhere else in the UK, according to Statista, you would be forgiven to think Brexit would impact the city more than most. 

Judging by how house prices have performed throughout the past five years, these house prices London Brexit concerns have been warranted. 

House prices in London have reached astronomical highs in the past decade, with prices reaching an eye-watering £930,979 just one year after Brexit. 

However, these Brexit house prices London have proved to be unsustainable, which has caused frequent and considerable drops over the past few years. 

London Property Prices 2016 - 2021 London Property Prices 2016 - 2021

Traditionally, London has felt the impact of economic uncertainty more than any other city, making it unsurprising that the London market has suffered during the last five years. 

Political uncertainty dominated 2018 and 2019, leading to some of the biggest drops in property prices in recent memory.  

In fact, Brexit London house prices fell from £930,979 in 2017 to £761,434 in 2019. 

Brexit London house prices showed a strong recovery in June 2020, though, before dropping in 2021. 

It is hard to directly correlate Brexit and London house prices, but there has been a consistent trend of prices dropping ever since June 2016. 

Overall, between the EU referendum vote and the latest Land Registry data, the average London property has dropped in value by 4.8%. 

Interestingly, despite the expense of property prices in London, the time to sell in the capital has been rapid throughout the year. 

Average Time to Secure a Buyers in London in Days Average Time to Secure a Buyers in London in Days

Across 2020 and 2021, the time to sell property in London has remained remarkably low given the economic pressures of Covid-19 and the huge expenses of the capital. 

As of April 2021, it took just 57 days for property to sell in the capital, according to the Rightmove House Price Index.  

While this is higher than the national average and higher than 2020, it does show a significant improvement over the end of 2019. 

This has likely been down to the continued levels of foreign investment in the capital, sparked by the value of the pound dropping and tax savings available from the stamp duty tax holiday. 

If you want to read more about Brexit London property, and find out why London is no longer the best place to invest for UK-based investors, be sure to check out our London property investment guide. 

Birmingham

Commonly referred to as the UK’s second city, Birmingham boasts the largest regional economy outside of London and is set to see even more investment while hosting the Commonwealth Games 2022.  

Like most UK locations, property prices in Birmingham have seen a solid and consistent rise in house prices after Brexit. 

Birmingham House Prices 2016-2020 Birmingham House Prices 2016-2020

Between June 2016 to June 2019, property prices experienced a consistent rise in Birmingham, increasing from £161,121 to £187,973, a 12.48% growth. 

Prices understandably dropped from 2019 to 2020 due to Covid-19, with a price decrease of just -0.55%. 

Prices have quickly recovered after this date, with the current data showing average Birmingham prices are now an average of £207,363. This is an increase of 10.93% since 2020 and a 28.70% increase over June 2016. 

In general, UK house prices Brexit have seen a consistently strong level in price growth. 

If you wanted to know “will house prices rise after Brexit?” or wanted to understand house prices UK after Brexit, it is clear that the housing market has remained robust. 

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How Have Housing Transactions Been Affected by Brexit?

How Have Housing Transactions Been Affected by Brexit? How Have Housing Transactions Been Affected by Brexit?

One of the most interesting metrics to look towards when evaluating Brexit house prices has been the level of housing transactions post-2016. 

Property prices often coincide with demand, with prices likely to surge the more demand increases. 

Many people were concerned that this level of demand and the ability to buy property would disappear due to Brexit, with fewer people having the money to spend on expensive purchases. 

Thankfully, data released by HM Revenue and Customs suggests that Brexit has had almost no measurable impact on the volume of housing transactions in the UK. 

Housing Transactions in the UK 2012 - 2021 Housing Transactions in the UK 2012 - 2021

The data shows both seasonally adjusted estimations, along with the raw data measured by the government department. 

There have been minimal changes post-2016, with a relatively consistent level of housing transactions after the referendum vote compared to before. 

In fact, the only sizeable dip was seen in April 2020, where housing transactions fell from 87,860 to 37,360 since April 2019. 

This level of drop was a direct consequence of lockdown measures put in place in March 2020. 

As you can see from the graph, though, transactions quickly recovered towards the latter end of the year, before reaching an incredible peak of 111,260 in April 2021.  

This was a 197.8% year-on-year increase in the non-seasonally adjusted data.  

Overall, aside from 2020, housing transactions have remained remarkably consistent after the June 2016 election, with no noticeable impact from Brexit. 

In fact, now that the UK has officially left the EU in 2021, housing transactions have sky-rocketed. 

Although, this is likely attributed to the desire for new property caused by the three UK lockdowns and the tax savings on offer from the stamp duty tax holiday. 

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Is the UK a Seller’s Market in 2021?

Is the UK a Seller’s Market in 2021? Is the UK a Seller’s Market in 2021?

Another vital metric people often use to measure the impact of house prices and Brexit is the time it takes for a property owner to sell their home. 

If a property sells fast, it shows there is a high demand for property in the UK, highlighting how strong the UK property market is. 

According to the latest Rightmove House Price Index from May 2021, property is selling at its fastest rate ever, with the number of properties available unable to meet the massive demand in the UK. 

Around 145,000 properties were newly marketed in April 2021, with the number of sales agreed rising by 55% compared to two years prior. 

The report from Rightmove notes that the number of properties available cannot meet demand, with available stock at the lowest proportion ever recorded. 

There is now a buying frenzy in the UK, with the average number of days to sell a property reaching its lowest ever level. 

Average Time to Secure a Buyer in UK in Days Average Time to Secure a Buyer in UK in Days

Meanwhile, the number of houses selling within just one week is now at its highest recorded level.  

Two and three-bedroom properties are currently selling the fastest, with over two billion minutes spent searching for properties on Rightmove in March 2021 – the most minutes in a single month for the first time. 

Perhaps the most interesting part of all this is that Rightmove believes this trend will continue for the foreseeable future, with market activity remaining robust for the rest of 2021. 

The Brexit Timeline- What’s Happened So Far?

There’s no denying that Brexit, and the negotiations involved, have been a long and tiresome process.  

If you want to refresh your memory on what exactly happened from 2016 to 2021, here’s a complete Brexit timeline. 

22 February 2016 

The Date for the EU Referendum Vote Announced 

In February 2016, David Cameron announced that the UK would vote in an EU Referendum on 23 June, officially launching the Brexit campaign. 

 

23 June 2016 

UK Votes to Leave the EU 

In June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU, with the leave campaign having won by 51.9% to 48.1%. David Cameron announced his resignation as prime minister the following day.  

 

13 July 2016 

Theresa May Announced as Prime Minister 

Less than a month after the Brexit vote, Theresa May was appointed as the new Prime Minister, having won the Conservative Party leadership contest by default. 

 

29 March 2017 

May Triggered Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty 

On 29 March 2017, Theresa May triggered article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, prompting Brexit with a notice period of two years. 

 

18 April 2017 

Theresa May Announced Plans to Hold a Snap General Election 

Theresa May called a snap general election in a bid to increase her authority in both the House of Commons and the public eye.  

 

8 June 2017 

General Election Saw May Lose Majority and Make a Deal With the DUP 

The final result of the 2017 general election saw no seats win a majority. As a result, Theresa May was forced to make a deal with the DUP in order to stay in power. 

 

15 January 2019 

May’s Withdrawal Deal Draft Rejected 

In January 2019, the UK Parliament held a vote to decide whether or not they accepted the Withdrawal Deal offered by Theresa May. This deal was rejected with just 202 votes for and 432 votes against. 

 

13 March 2019 

MPs Say No to a No-Deal Brexit 

Parliament voted in favour of a motion which aimed to rule out the UK leaving the EU without a deal, although the result of this vote was not legally binding. 

 

10 April 2019 

Deadline Pushed Back to 31 October 

Despite the aim to leave the EU on 29 March 2019, a new Brexit deadline of 31 October was announced due to the fact that Theresa May’s withdrawal agreement was rejected three times in total. 

 

24 May 2019 

Theresa May Resigned as PM 

On the 24 May 2019, Theresa May announced that she was standing down as Prime Minister. On 24 July, May headed to Buckingham Palace to tender her resignation to the Queen. 

24 July 2019 

Boris Johnson New PM 

Boris Johnson is appointed as the new leader of the Conservative party, now heading up the Brexit campaign. 

 

29 October 2019 

UK Parliament Approved General Election 

In a similar turn of events to the 2017 election, Boris Johnson called for another snap general election. Parliament approved this and a new election campaign is launched ahead of the December election. 

 

12 December 2019 

Boris Wins Majority 

Boris Johnson won the 2019 general election with a comfortable majority of 365 seats. This reignited the nation’s confidence in both the UK government and Brexit as a whole, causing experts to predict that after Brexit, property prices would remain stable. 

 

9 January 2020 

MPs Back Withdrawal Agreement Bill 

The Commons voted 330 to 231 in favour of Boris Johnson’s Withdrawal Agreement Bill – the bill that will implement the UK’s Brexit deal. 

 

31 January 2020 

Departure Day 

The UK departed from the EU at 11 pm on 31 January 2020. The country has now reached the Brexit transition period before all agreements between the EU and the UK are made by the end of the year. 

 

2 March 2020 

Trade Talks Begin 

Trade talks officially begin in Brussels. Talks are set to continue every two weeks until a Brexit trade deal can be reached. 

 

19 March 2020 

Pressure to Delay Brexit 

Chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, reveals he’s caught Coronavirus. which prompts pressure to delay Brexit talks due to the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. 

 

17 May 2020 

EU Urged to Show Flexibility 

Michael Gove urges the EU to show ‘flexibility’, as signs continue to point towards a no deal Brexit. 

 

13 June 2020 

Support for Transition Period Extension 

A survey reveals that over half of Britons support a Brexit transition period extension, while three-quarters of British people believe that the UK should work closely with the EU to combat coronavirus. 

 

21 August 2020 

UK Will Not Extend Trade Talks 

Negotiator Michael Barnier states that he believes a UK-EU Brexit trade deal is ‘unlikely’. The UK says it will not extend trade talks, even if an agreement cannot be reached by the 31st December deadline. 

 

23 October 2020 

Trade Talks Continue in London 

Trade talks continue as negotiators meet in London. Liz Truss, International Trade Secretary, insists that a deal can still be done due to a new round of intensified daily meetings. 

 

24 December 2020 

UK and EU Agree on a Post-Brexit Trade Deal 

After months of negotiations, a deal is finally agreed on, prior to the end of the transition period on the 31 December. 

 

31 December 2020 

UK Leaves EU After Transition Period 

After five long years, the UK officially left the EU single market and customs union at 11pm.
 

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Brexit House Price Predictions – What Do the Experts Predict for Brexit House Prices?

If you’re still unsure about the possible outlook for the housing market post-Brexit, we’ve compiled a selection of thoughts and predictions from some of the top industry experts. 

Below you will find some commonly asked questions by our readers, with answers and predictions taken from industry experts like JLL, Savills, official government estimations, and more. 

Over recent years, the question on many people’s lips has been ‘will house prices crash after Brexit without a deal?’.  

In July 2019, the Office for Budget Responsibility predicted that a no-deal Brexit could cause property prices in the UK to drop by almost 10% by mid-2021.  

Thankfully, after months of negotiations, the UK and the EU agreed on a post-Brexit deal on 24 December, with the UK now officially out of the EU in 2021. 

This was good news for many, as one of the biggest worries over house prices after Brexit was about a no-deal Brexit. 

That’s why, once a deal was finally agreed on, a newfound level of certainty entered the housing market, which has been mirrored in house price growth. 

While the country still faces the threat of Covid-19 and its impact on the economy and housing market, the combination of a new Brexit deal and the introduction of the Covid-19 vaccine definitely brings some optimism to the market moving forward. 

Property experts JLL predict that the London housing market after Brexit is set to see some progress over the coming years.  

In a recent study, JLL has predicted house price growth of 1% across Greater London in 2020, followed by 2.5% growth in 2021 and 4.5% in 2022.  

While London is still considered less of an attractive investment when compared to opportunities in the North, these predictions suggest a positive future for the capital. 

These estimations were supported by Savills, with a predicted 2.5% growth in London property prices in 2021, and a 4.5% growth in 2022. 

Overall, Savills has predicted a 12.6% rise in London prices by 2025 – the lowest growth level in the UK. 

So, will Brexit affect house prices?  

Here’s what the experts expect for house price predictions post Brexit.  

Property experts Savills have predicted a national growth in 2021 of 4% in property prices due to an increase in market and consumer confidence. 

As of June 2021, current property prices have already surpassed this growth level, with prices in the UK 10.19% higher than a year prior.  

This is a fantastic sign that house prices will remain strong despite any economic uncertainty that may remain.  

Much like in previous years, the North West region is expected to dominate the housing market post Brexit, while the South is likely to see less growth. 

According to Savills predictions, the North West is set to a growth of 28.8% by 2025, with the UK increasing by an average of 21.1% over the same period. 

While the North West is set for the highest growth, Yorkshire and The Humber isn’t far behind, with a predicted 28.2% rise. 

Predictions from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors suggest that rents in the UK will increase by 2.5% due to an ongoing gap between supply and demand in the UK property market. 

If true, this suggests that now is a great time to go ahead with your buy to let investment, allowing you to purchase your investment property before it rises in value while also benefitting from attractive returns. 

This growth is set to continue into the future, with Savills estimating a 17% rise in rent by 2025.  

For May 2021, HomeLet has recorded a UK rent growth of 6.4% over May 2020, suggesting that this 17% rise could be surpassed. 

What Does the Brexit Deal Mean for the Property Market?

Over recent years, the question on many people’s lips has been ‘will house prices crash after Brexit without a deal?’.  

In July 2019, the Office for Budget Responsibility predicted that a no-deal Brexit could cause property prices in the UK to drop by almost 10% by mid-2021.  

Thankfully, after months of negotiations, the UK and the EU agreed on a post-Brexit deal on 24 December, with the UK now officially out of the EU in 2021. 

This was good news for many, as one of the biggest worries over house prices after Brexit was about a no-deal Brexit. 

That’s why, once a deal was finally agreed on, a newfound level of certainty entered the housing market, which has been mirrored in house price growth. 

While the country still faces the threat of Covid-19 and its impact on the economy and housing market, the combination of a new Brexit deal and the introduction of the Covid-19 vaccine definitely brings some optimism to the market moving forward. 

What Will Happen to Property Prices in London After Brexit?

Property experts JLL predict that the London housing market after Brexit is set to see some progress over the coming years.  

In a recent study, JLL has predicted house price growth of 1% across Greater London in 2020, followed by 2.5% growth in 2021 and 4.5% in 2022.  

While London is still considered less of an attractive investment when compared to opportunities in the North, these predictions suggest a positive future for the capital. 

These estimations were supported by Savills, with a predicted 2.5% growth in London property prices in 2021, and a 4.5% growth in 2022. 

Overall, Savills has predicted a 12.6% rise in London prices by 2025 – the lowest growth level in the UK. 

Will House Prices Fall After Brexit?

So, will Brexit affect house prices?  

Here’s what the experts expect for house price predictions post Brexit.  

Property experts Savills have predicted a national growth in 2021 of 4% in property prices due to an increase in market and consumer confidence. 

As of June 2021, current property prices have already surpassed this growth level, with prices in the UK 10.19% higher than a year prior.  

This is a fantastic sign that house prices will remain strong despite any economic uncertainty that may remain.  

Much like in previous years, the North West region is expected to dominate the housing market post Brexit, while the South is likely to see less growth. 

According to Savills predictions, the North West is set to a growth of 28.8% by 2025, with the UK increasing by an average of 21.1% over the same period. 

While the North West is set for the highest growth, Yorkshire and The Humber isn’t far behind, with a predicted 28.2% rise. 

How Will Brexit Affect Property Investment?

Predictions from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors suggest that rents in the UK will increase by 2.5% due to an ongoing gap between supply and demand in the UK property market. 

If true, this suggests that now is a great time to go ahead with your buy to let investment, allowing you to purchase your investment property before it rises in value while also benefitting from attractive returns. 

This growth is set to continue into the future, with Savills estimating a 17% rise in rent by 2025.  

For May 2021, HomeLet has recorded a UK rent growth of 6.4% over May 2020, suggesting that this 17% rise could be surpassed. 

Brexit and House Prices: What About Mortgage Rates?

Mortgage Rates After Brexit Mortgage Rates After Brexit

Both homebuyers and investors are curious about not only house prices after Brexit, but also mortgage rates, and how mortgages will be affected in 2021. 

Over 2020 and 2021, mortgages have changed in line with the coronavirus pandemic.  

The majority of lenders began to close their 95% mortgages, which were common with first-time buyers. 

While 2020 and 2021 have brought issues for first-time buyers who favour affordability when agreeing on a mortgage deposit deal, things have looked up for investors and those buying a second home.  

This group of buyers were able to benefit from some large savings through the stamp duty holiday.  

Brexit and Stamp Duty Tax Brexit and Stamp Duty Tax

The stamp duty holiday was announced in July 2020, and allows those buying a second property to save money on stamp duty tax. 

The announcement of this tax break helped to boost UK housing market activity, which has also caused mortgage rates to rise due to demand. 

Mortgage rates have fluctuated throughout the year, and despite high levels of demand remaining, rates are currently low, which is good news for those seeking a residential or buy to let mortgage.  

The holiday ends in June 2021, but there are still tax savings up until September. 

If you want to learn more, be sure to check out our stamp duty guide. 

Experts have suggested that mortgage rates should remain promising following Brexit, which will hopefully encourage more market activity throughout 2021 and beyond. 

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The Effect of Covid-19 on Brexit and House Prices

The impact of Covid-19 on the property market The impact of Covid-19 on the property market

The threat of Covid-19’s impact on the UK economy and property market has somewhat overtaken Brexit uncertainty.  

But just how much impact will the combination of the Coronavirus pandemic and Brexit have on the UK property market and house prices after Brexit? 

While Covid-19 has undoubtedly had a big impact on the UK economy, with many people out of work and many businesses failing, the outlook for the UK property market remains positive.  

With the average UK property price now at a record high, the UK property market has experienced a similar resurgence during the Coronavirus pandemic as it did back in October 2016 following the initial Brexit vote. 

Hopefully, the UK property market will follow a similar pattern over the coming years as it did following Brexit uncertainty.  

With predictions for huge growth in property prices in the coming years, property market predictions for 2021 and beyond look promising in the face of both the Covid-19 aftermath and the outcome of Brexit house prices. 

Savills, for example, released updated property price predictions which estimate that UK property prices will grow by 21.1% by 2025.  

Within the same period, an even higher growth of 28.8% is expected for the North West region, with Yorkshire and the Humber following behind with house price growth of 28.2%. 

Should I Invest in UK Property? The Key Points on Brexit and House Prices

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We hope you enjoyed our guide to Brexit property prices and the property market Brexit. 

The world of property is constantly changing from outside factors like Brexit and Covid-19, but there has simply never been a better time to invest than now. 

With record-breaking property price growth, huge tax savings, and massive return potential, property is currently the ultimate asset for investment. 

If you want to take advantage of this fantastic period, then be sure to invest with RWinvest. 

Voted the North West’s best property business in 2020, and shortlisted for Business of the Year in the Echo Regional Business Awards 2021, there is simply no better investment company than us. 

With over 17 years of experience and 951 five-star reviews, we can deliver the best property opportunities on the market. 

If you want to discover more about RWinvest or just want a quick chat to assess your options, contact us today. 

If you still have some questions on Brexit and the UK property market in the UK or are wondering ‘will house prices drop after Brexit in the UK?’ feel free to contact our team at RWinvest.  

We have experience and expertise in all things property investment and can talk you through our most promising investment options for 2021 and beyond. 

DISCLAIMER 

This literature should be treated as general guidance and not construed as investment advice. Prospective purchasers must rely on their own due diligence. All information and details are given in good faith and are believed to be correct but any intending purchasers or lessees should not rely on them as statements or representations of fact but must satisfy themselves by inspection of the correctness. 

This guide to house prices after Brexit was last updated in June 2021. Property data can constantly change, so certain details or statistics may be incorrect or outdated when you read it.  

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